25–29 May 2026
La Biodola - Isola d'Elba (Italy)
Europe/Rome timezone
Deadline for submission of Conference Records and TNS manuscripts extended to July 6, 2026.

131 A Maximum Log-Likelihood Regression Approach for Quantitative Mixture Prediction in PGNAA Spectroscopy

27 May 2026, 10:48
2m
Maria Luisa Room (Hotel Hermitage)

Maria Luisa Room

Hotel Hermitage

Mini Oral AI, Machine Learning, Real Time Simulation, Intelligent Signal Processing Mini Orals

Speaker

Helmand Shayan (Technische Hochschule Ostwestfalen)

Description

Scrap recycling is a vital source of sustainable raw materials, yet real-time analysis of heterogeneous metal flows remains a significant challenge. While Prompt Gamma Neutron Activation Analysis (PGNAA) offers a non-destructive method for elemental analysis, traditional categorical classification models are limited by their inability to resolve intermediate material compositions. In this work, we present a novel regression-based approach for PGNAA spectroscopy that enables, for the first time, the quantitative determination of arbitrary mixture ratios in metal alloys.

Our framework utilizes a probability-distribution-based sampling method to generate synthetic datasets from reference long-term spectra. These mixtures are modeled as linear combinations of reference alloys, defined by a single mixing parameter λ. We employ a Maximum Log-Likelihood method to estimate λ from noisy, short-term measurements.

The results demonstrate high prediction accuracy despite the inherent statistical noise of rapid acquisition times. At a measurement time of only 1 s, 98% of the predictions for Aluminium-copper mixtures deviate by less than 2% from the true fraction. Furthermore, the approach proves robust across various alloy combinations, maintaining a median prediction close to the preset fraction. This work represents an important step toward precise, non-destructive online analysis of heterogeneous metal flows and provides a technical foundation for future real-time monitoring of alloy compositions.

Minioral No
IEEE Member No
Are you a student? Yes

Author

Helmand Shayan (Technische Hochschule Ostwestfalen)

Co-authors

Dr Gözde Özden Prof. Markus Lange-Hegermann (Deutsch)

Presentation materials