19–21 May 2025
University of Pittsburgh
US/Eastern timezone

The bias-variance-correlation tradeoff and its implications for ML applications in HEP

19 May 2025, 14:30
15m
David Lawrence Hall 107, University of Pittsburgh

David Lawrence Hall 107, University of Pittsburgh

Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Particle Physics Machine Learning

Speaker

Prasanth Shyamsundar (Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory)

Description

The bias-variance tradeoff is a well-recognized phenomenon in statistics and machine learning. In this talk, I will discuss an extension, dubbed the bias-variance-correlation tradeoff. Roughly speaking, as the flexibility of a model decreases, the correlations in the outputs of a trained model for different inputs increases. Such correlations have implications for several applications of machine learning in high energy physics, e.g., the use generative models for event generation. In particular, I will argue that claims in the literature of data amplification by generative models stem from ignoring important correlations between the model's outputs for different inputs.

Author

Prasanth Shyamsundar (Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory)

Presentation materials

There are no materials yet.