Hubble tension in the light of eLISA/ET: A Three-Pronged Approach with Fisher, MCMC and ML

Not scheduled
15m
IIT Guwahati

IIT Guwahati

Poster Cosmology Cosmology

Speaker

Mr Rahul Shah (Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata)

Description

Cosmology today, although precise, is perhaps not accurate. The so-called tensions in the standard $\Lambda$CDM model have been cited as a crisis in the field. With no clear evidence of systematical errors, nor a foolproof alternative theory as of now, the crisis is often attributed to the insufficiency of data at hand, that calls for future missions. In this presentation, I would investigate the prospects of the future space-based gravitational wave mission eLISA, set to probe the "intermediate" redshifts, in addressing the Hubble tension. I'll demonstrate a three-pronged approach - namely using Fisher matrices (the standard forecasting tool in cosmology), Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms (the conventional parameter estimation scheme), and a machine learning algorithm like Gaussian processes (for non-parametric reconstruction), to help shed light on this disparity. By considering a few representative cosmological models as fiducials, some of which show promise at varied levels in alleviating the Hubble tension when confronted with current datasets (CMB+BAO+SNIa), we construct realistic mock-catalogs of bright standard siren events. Using these catalogs, I'll then demonstrate the inference of the Hubble constant independently from the three techniques. Finally, a comparative analysis among the methods, as well as the models, would be presented.

This would be based mostly on the work published in JCAP06(2023)038/arXiv:2301.12708.

Email rahul.shah.13.97@gmail.com
Affiliation Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata

Author

Mr Rahul Shah (Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata)

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