8–12 Sept 2026
CBPF
America/Sao_Paulo timezone

Field Level Inference: Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Next-Generation Large-Scale Structure Analysis

Not scheduled
20m
Auditório Ministro João Alberto Lins e Barros (CBPF)

Auditório Ministro João Alberto Lins e Barros

CBPF

Rua Dr. Xavier Sigaud, 150 - Urca Rio de Janeiro - RJ - Brasil CEP: 22290-180
Oral Talk

Speaker

Dr Arthur Loureiro (Stockholm University)

Description

Field-level inference – the direct statistical reconstruction of cosmological fields from observational data – is emerging as a transformative paradigm for next-generation galaxy surveys like Euclid, LSST, and DESI. Unlike traditional summary statistics, this approach infers latent fields (e.g. matter density, weak-lensing, cmb convergence) and their uncertainties directly, leveraging the full information content of the data to break degeneracies in cosmological parameters.

In this talk, I contrast two Bayesian frameworks enabling this paradigm: Almanac, a hierarchical method for joint reconstruction of full-sky fields and their power spectra from masked, noisy data; and BORG, which uses physics-based priors from structure formation to infer the initial conditions of the Universe. Applied to the Quaia quasar sample, we validate the BORG field-level reconstruction through cross-correlations with CMB lensing. Building on Almanac, I also present FLINCH, an extension that propagates field-level inference to cosmological parameter space; applied to CMB simulations, it improves cosmological constraints by up to 40% compared to conventional summary-statistic analyses. Together, these advances demonstrate how scalable Bayesian frameworks can unify data and theory, maximising the scientific return of the upcoming new era of cosmic surveys.

Author

Dr Arthur Loureiro (Stockholm University)

Presentation materials

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