24–28 Aug 2026
Leiden University
Europe/Zurich timezone

Unbiased Bayesian Inference of Peculiar Motions of Galaxies from Type Ia Supernovae Observations

Not scheduled
15m
Gorlaeus gebouw (Leiden University)

Gorlaeus gebouw

Leiden University

Einsteinweg 55, 2333 CC Leiden
Poster

Speaker

Ujjwal Upadhyay

Description

The peculiar motions of galaxies are powerful cosmological probes that trace the growth of structures and the distribution of matter in the universe, providing a means to investigate the nature of dark energy and test gravity on cosmological scales. However, their direct observation is extremely challenging, as it requires independent and precise distance measurements to galaxies. We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the radial component of peculiar velocities of galaxies hosting Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), relying solely on the background cosmological model and the precision of the SNe Ia data. Unlike other peculiar velocity estimators based on Hubble residuals, our method does not assume local linearity of the magnitude-redshift relation or a fixed cosmology, making it unbiased even for large peculiar velocities and self-consistently avoiding bias due to a wrong cosmology. We validate our method using simulated supernova data with the precision of current and upcoming surveys, and further compare it with the linearized estimator to test its efficacy. We show that our estimator has lower bias than the standard estimator and remains consistent even for larger values of $v_p/cz$. We also present a Bayesian derivation for the linearized estimator generalized to include the supernova magnitude covariance.

Author

Co-authors

Prof. Shiv Sethi (Raman Research Institute, Bangalore) Dr Tarun Deep Saini (Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore)

Presentation materials

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