24–28 Aug 2026
Leiden University
Europe/Zurich timezone

Direct likelihood emulation for efficient cosmological parameter inference

Not scheduled
15m
Gorlaeus gebouw (Leiden University)

Gorlaeus gebouw

Leiden University

Einsteinweg 55, 2333 CC Leiden
Poster

Speaker

Andreas Nygaard (University of Zurich)

Description

Precision cosmology increasingly relies on repeated evaluations of computationally expensive observables, such as Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) anisotropy spectra and large-scale structure statistics, posing a significant bottleneck for parameter inference and model comparison. Emulation techniques have emerged as a powerful solution, enabling fast and accurate interpolation of these observables across parameter space. In this talk, I will present CLiENT (Cosmological Likelihood Emulator using Neural Networks with TensorFlow), a method that bypasses observable prediction entirely by directly emulating the likelihood function of a dataset given cosmological parameters. This approach provides a flexible and fully differentiable surrogate for the likelihood, enabling efficient gradient-based inference methods.
Using fewer than $\sim 2\times10^4$ training evaluations, the likelihood emulator achieves high fidelity, recovering posterior constraints to within $0.1\sigma$ of the true likelihood and maintaining pointwise accuracy at the level of $\Delta\chi^2\leq 0.5$ across relevant regions of parameter space. I will demonstrate the robustness and versatility of this approach, including applications to extended cosmological models.
These results position likelihood emulation as a powerful and complementary alternative to traditional observable-based approaches, with clear advantages for fast, flexible, and differentiable cosmological inference.

Other topic / keywords: Emulation, Sampling, Inference

Authors

Andreas Nygaard (University of Zurich) Mr Luca Janken (Aarhus University) Steen Hannestad (Aarhus University) Mr Thomas Tram (Aarhus University)

Presentation materials

There are no materials yet.